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2024-12-13 04:11:55

Bitcoin hit $98,000/piece, down 3.12% in the day.Caitong Securities: It is expected that the main objectives and tasks of economic and social development will be successfully completed throughout the year. the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee held a meeting on December 9 to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. According to Chen Xing, the macro chief analyst of Caitong Securities, from the current situation, the economic operation has been generally stable this year, and the key areas of risks have also been resolved in an orderly and effective manner. The meeting has confidence in this year's economic performance, and it is expected that the main objectives and tasks of economic and social development will be successfully completed throughout the year. From the perspective of future deployment, first, the positive attitude is unprecedented. The meeting mentioned that the policy will be more active and promising, and on the basis of counter-cyclical adjustment, it emphasized that the intensity should be "extraordinary" to offset "external shocks". We will implement a more proactive fiscal policy and a moderately loose monetary policy. Second, pay more attention to the actual effect of policies, not only to strengthen the forward-looking, targeted and effective regulation at the macro level, but also to promote the effectiveness of landmark reform measures in specific measures. Third, pay more attention to systematicness, emphasize "system integration and coordination", improve the toolbox, lay a good policy "combination boxing" and stabilize expectations. 


CITIC Jiantou interprets the Politburo meeting in December: it opens up the market's expectation of monetary easing space in 2025. CITIC Jiantou Research Report pointed out that there are six obvious expressions of the positive signal of the Politburo meeting in December: 1. "Implementing a more active and promising macro policy"; 2. "Stabilize the property market and stock market"; 3. "Strengthening unconventional counter-cyclical adjustment"; 4. "We should vigorously boost consumption"; 5. "More active fiscal policy"; 6. "moderately loose monetary policy". The most concerned is the last expression, "moderately loose monetary policy". For most of the time, the Politburo used the word "steady" to describe the currency. This time, it adopted the rare "moderate easing", which opened the market's expectation for the monetary easing space in 2025. The "liquidity trap" recently discussed in the market does not apply to China, and monetary easing can solve a considerable part of the problem of weak domestic demand. From the perspective of trend, observing the future domestic demand trend of China, what needs to be tracked most is the currency. From the short-term emotional point of view, "stabilizing the property market and stock market" will become a short-term market trading point.Dongfang Jincheng: In 2025, the policy interest rate cut may reach 0.5 percentage points. the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee held a meeting on December 9 to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. Dongfang Jincheng judges that in 2025, the central bank will continue to implement vigorous interest rate cuts and RRR cuts, among which the policy rate cuts may reach 0.5 percentage points, which is significantly higher than the rate cut of 0.3 percentage points this year, and the interest rates of various structural monetary policy instruments will also be lowered in a timely manner, thus guiding the financing costs of enterprises and residents to go down. It is not ruled out that in 2025, it is possible to continue to implement a large-scale targeted interest rate cut on residential mortgages by greatly guiding the downward trend of LPR quotations for more than five years. (The Paper)According to the report, the sales of China's household appliances industry will maintain a low growth rate in 2025. S&P Credit Rating (China) Co., Ltd. (S&P Credit Rating) released a report on the 9th, saying that the sales of China's household appliances industry will maintain a low growth rate in 2025, thanks to the continuous growth of exports and the promotion of the "trade-in" policy for domestic sales. According to the report, in 2025, China's home appliance exports will maintain a relatively high growth rate, and the external environment will have a relatively controllable impact on China's home appliance exports. Specifically, emerging market countries, mainly in the Middle East, Southeast Asia and Africa, have a large demand space for China's household appliances, and the penetration rate of household appliances will continue to increase. In 2025, China head home appliance enterprises will further seize the global share and drive home appliance exports to maintain a high growth rate, relying on the advantages of supply chain and the continuous improvement of brand influence.


German Interior Minister: The situation in Syria is very uncertain at present, and the specific possibility of return is still unpredictable.Ruifeng Optoelectronics: Hubei Ruihua, a wholly-owned subsidiary, received a government subsidy of 8,820,200 yuan. Ruifeng Optoelectronics announced that Hubei Ruihua Optoelectronics Co., Ltd., a wholly-owned subsidiary, recently received a loan interest subsidy of 8,820,200 yuan from the local finance of gedian Development Zone in Ezhou City, accounting for 19.20% of the company's audited net profit attributable to shareholders of listed companies in the latest fiscal year.Aauto Quicker-W: On December 9th, it spent HK$ 48,418,900 to buy back 1,037,800 shares. Aauto Quicker -W(01024) announced that on December 9th, 2024, the company spent HK$ 48,418,900 to buy back 1,037,800 shares.

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